Saturday, January 5, 2008

More Lowering of Expectations + New Polls

Clinton is continuing to lower expectations in New Hampshire (see here for how disenchanting I find this strategy), while three new polls at Open Left show a big Iowa bounce for Obama:

Poll Clinton Obama Edwards Richardson Kucinich
Rasmssuen 27% 37% 19% 8% ??
Trend, 12/18 31% 28% 18% 8% ??%
Zogby 32% 28% 20% 7% 3%
Trend, 1/4 32% 26% 20% 7% 3%
Suffolk 36% 29% 13% 4% 1%
Trend, 1/4 37% 25% 15% 4% 1%
Mean 31.7% 31.3% 17.3% 6.3% 2.0%


Notice the Rasmussen number have Obama leading by 10 ...

MORE: ARG just released a poll it fielded yesterday and today. The results: Obama -- 38%; Clinton -- 26%; Edwards -- 20%. The story of this poll is the massive swings following Iowa, though, to be fair, ARG doesn't have much of a reputation for pinpoint accuracy.

EVEN MORE: As more polls come out of New Hampshire, more seem to suggest a substantial Obama bounce from the Iowa win.

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